Hot Versus Cold Tumours: What T-Cell Infiltration Means
Tumours are often described as hot or cold depending on how many T cells have infiltrated them and how active those T cells appear. The distinction is a useful shorthand for predicting immunotherapy response, but real tumours sit along a spectrum and can shift position over time or between regions.
Quick Answer
Tumours are often described as hot or cold depending on how many T cells have infiltrated them and how active those T cells appear. The distinction is a useful shorthand for predicting immunotherapy response, but real tumours sit along a spectrum and can shift position over time or between regions.
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Immuno-Oncology and Tumour Metabolism
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A hot (inflamed) tumour has T cells distributed through the tumour body, often alongside interferon-signature gene expression and PD-L1. A cold (immune desert) tumour has few or no T cells anywhere. An intermediate immune-excluded pattern has T cells stuck at the tumour margin, unable to penetrate.
Hot tumours are more likely to respond to checkpoint inhibitors because the drugs act by reinvigorating T cells that are already present; if no T cells are there, releasing their brakes achieves little.
What Makes a Tumour Cold
Contributing factors include low neoantigen load, defective antigen presentation, a stroma that physically excludes T cells, immunosuppressive cell populations such as regulatory T cells and myeloid-derived suppressor cells, and oncogenic signalling (for example WNT/beta-catenin activation) that reduces dendritic-cell recruitment.
Because the causes differ, the strategies proposed to warm a cold tumour also differ, from vaccines to stroma-modifying agents to combination targeted therapy.
Limits of the Label
Infiltration can vary markedly between areas of the same tumour and between the primary and metastases, so a single biopsy may misclassify. Quantitative tools such as the Immunoscore, which counts T-cell subsets in the tumour core and margin, formalise the assessment in colorectal cancer.
Hot versus cold is a helpful concept for discussion but is not by itself a validated companion diagnostic.
Strategies to Warm a Cold Tumour
Because a tumour can be cold for different reasons, the approaches under study are correspondingly varied: radiotherapy or certain chemotherapies to release antigen, oncolytic viruses and STING agonists injected into the tumour, targeted therapy to lift oncogene-driven immune exclusion, and drugs that deplete or reprogramme suppressive myeloid and regulatory-T-cell populations.
Most of this is investigational, and results have been inconsistent. The clearest routine use of the hot-versus-cold idea is to set expectations: a checkpoint inhibitor is more likely to help an inflamed tumour, and a cold tumour usually needs a combination or a different modality.
Key Takeaways
- ·Hot tumours have infiltrating, active T cells; cold tumours have few or none; excluded tumours trap them at the margin.
- ·Checkpoint inhibitors mostly work on hot tumours because they reinvigorate T cells already present.
- ·Infiltration varies within and between tumour sites, so the label is a spectrum, not a fixed property.
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Frequently asked questions
Why do checkpoint inhibitors mostly help hot tumours?
The drugs work by releasing the brakes on T cells that are already inside the tumour. If few or no T cells are present, as in a cold tumour, there is little for the drug to reinvigorate.
What is an immune-excluded tumour?
One where T cells are present but trapped at the tumour margin, unable to penetrate the tumour body — an intermediate pattern between hot and cold, often caused by a stroma that physically blocks entry.
Is hot versus cold a validated test?
It is a useful concept, and tools such as the Immunoscore formalise it in colorectal cancer, but the label by itself is not a companion diagnostic, and infiltration varies within and between tumour sites.
References
- 1International validation of the consensus Immunoscore for the classification of colon cancer. Lancet, 2018. PubMed
- 2Pan-cancer immunogenomic analyses reveal genotype-immunophenotype relationships and predictors of response to checkpoint blockade. Cell Rep, 2017. PubMed
- 3Hallmarks of cancer: new dimensions. Cancer Discov, 2022. PubMed
Continue Reading
Neoantigens and Tumour Immunogenicity
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Tumour-Infiltrating Lymphocytes: Prognosis and Prediction
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The Tumour Microenvironment: More Than Cancer Cells
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PD-L1 Testing Explained: Assays, Scores and Limits
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B2M and MHC Class I Loss: Hiding From T Cells
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JAK1/JAK2 Loss and Interferon-Signalling Resistance to Immunotherapy
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